India's Organized Retail Stock to Cross 82 mn sq. ft by 2023

The F&B, e-commerce, pharmaceuticals, and the traditional grocery retailers as the top-performing sectors witnessed steady growth despite the pandemic.
India’s Organized Retail Stock to Cross 82 mn sq. ft by 2023

India’s organized retail stock has reached 64.3 mn sq. ft as of H1 2021 and is expected to cross 82 mn sq. ft by 2023. 

According to the ‘India Retail Reboot 2021’ by CBRE, “Delhi and Bengaluru are leading the sectors’ growth with the expected addition of over 5 mn sq. ft of the overall organized retail stock respectively followed by Hyderabad expected to add over 3 mn sq. ft.

The report further highlights that with the onset of the pandemic, consumer behavior shifted towards ‘conscious buying’, leading to a significant shift in consumer purchase behavior both across physical retail and e-commerce. The F&B, e-commerce, pharmaceuticals, and the traditional grocery retailers as the top-performing sectors witnessed steady growth despite the pandemic. 

Commenting on the announcement, Anshuman Magazine, Chairman, India & South-East Asia, Middle East & Africa, CBRE, said, “The overall outlook for the Indian retail real estate market continues to be positive at the back of an accelerated vaccination drive, policy reforms, and increasing urbanization. Moreover, with more investors looking at REITs and fractional ownership for the commercial segment, the sector is embarked on a growth trajectory.”

Bimal Sharma, Head, Retail Services, CBRE said, “The Indian retail sector stands at a chance of transformation as retailers continue to adapt their store formats to address the needs of different customers across markets and geographies. The pandemic has led retailers to explore newer trends like digitally-enhanced experiences, pop-ups, omnichannel retailing, etc. While we expect brick & mortar stores on hi-streets and in shopping centers will continue to flourish, retailers will have to rethink and realign their business strategies to meet the demand of the customer that is constantly exposed to the evolving online shopping experience.”

“With the renewed demand and bounce back of retail, we are seeing a number of international brands both in the retail & the F&B sectors showing interest in the country and we expect to see them enter India starting early 2022 which would contribute to the overall sectors’ growth going forward,” he added.

Future Trends for Sectorial Growth:

Apparel and Footwear: 
•    Pent up demand is likely to lead to a strong rebound
•    Retailers are expected to continue ramping up their digital/ online capabilities
•    Store-based retailers will focus on unique shopping experiences
•    Malls focussed brands are likely to expand in standalone/ mixed-use developments to widen their footprint. 
•    A few brands are altering their store sizes and layouts as well

Health & Beauty: 
•    As purchasing patterns normalize, beauty specialist retailers are anticipated to make a strong comeback
•    A number of new multi-brand formats are evolving and growing, both online and offline

Electronics and Appliances:
•    All national retailers have significantly improved their online presence and have tried to address all the customer demands. 
•    Multi-brand outlets are likely to become a preferred choice among consumers and retailers such as Croma and Reliance Digital are expected to continue expanding

Department Stores:
•    One-stop shopping experience format is likely to remain popular among consumers
•    All department stores are finding innovative ways to engage with their customers, and some have also used personalized/ online platforms to improve sales. 

Hypermarkets, Supermarkets, and Traditional Grocery Retailers:
•    Consumers will continue to remain value-conscious 
•    Comeback of non-essential sales is likely to aid recovery and growth across supermarkets
•    Low penetration of modern grocery retailers, lower real estate costs, and availability of larger spaces offer tremendous expansion opportunities in tier II and tier III cities

E-commerce and F&B E-commerce:
•    E-commerce is expected to witness high growth going forward as well and but would co-exist well with store-based retail channels. Integration of the two is likely to increase. 
•    Dark kitchens/ stores in partnerships with online & other store-based retailers will be the key to offset logistical challenges in the future
•    Expansion into tier II and tier III cities is likely to be the next stage of development in the F&B e-commerce category as well

Retail Outlook:

The pandemic created an urgent need for the retail sector to adapt to the evolving market landscape. Trends that were on a multiyear trajectory saw dramatic acceleration and the retail industry witnessed more innovation in the past year than it did in the prior decade. 

CBRE has identified six imperatives that are expected to help retail stakeholders adapt to a changing consumer landscape while pursuing new opportunities. 

•    Restructuring Retailer-Landlord Relationships – Post the pandemic, more partnership-like agreements started to surface between landlords and retailers. Landlords provided several relief measures to accommodate retailers, ranging from temporary rental rebates, rent reductions, and deferments with some also exploring lease restructuring and fit-out subsides.

•    Navigating the Digital Shifts –Technology in retail is rapidly evolving; especially post the pandemic. Virtual fitting-room technology will help to synchronize the store’s inventory and point-of-sale systems, enabling stores to catch up to data-rich e-commerce by providing insights on data points such as time spent in fitting rooms and conversion rates.

•    Tapping the Altering Consumer Behavior – Consumers today are extremely agile, volatile, demanding, and tech-savvy. Given their preferences and the pandemic-related disruption, retailers should focus on reinventing their marketing strategies and think of innovative ways to know their consumers better. 

•    Omnichannel to be the New Omnipotent - Online shopping has enabled customers with this convenience in a safe environment. The change in consumer shopping patterns has ensured that retailers consider omnipresence. Omnichannel is expected to be the fallback plan for businesses during uncertainties/ lean economic cycles.

•    Reshaping the Idea of a ‘Store’, Free Standing Stores to Proliferate – With inventory management already being optimized with the aid of predictive demand analytics, brick and mortar stores may eventually become inventory free as purchases would be dispatched from warehouses to consumers’ homes upon payment. CBRE foresees the redistribution of space between the various areas of retail stores such as fitting rooms, product testing zones, pick-up counters, and stockrooms. 

•    Rethinking Retail Asset Management Strategies, Health, and Safety to Remain Paramount – Physical spaces are likely to be re-thought and social distancing may remain in effect going forward as well – attention will be paid to vaccinated staff Developments that are currently under construction/ planned are expected to make provisions for more open and green spaces in their design layouts. In addition, the adoption of PropTech is likely to take center stage in the maintenance across the retail-built environments.
 

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